AI IQ
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IQ Over Time

Each model's estimated IQ by release date. Step-lines connect each provider's flagship models over time.

IQ Over Time
IQ Over Time
The frontier by release date

Tracking frontier progress

Each dot is a model with a known release date and a derived IQ estimate. Models are positioned left-to-right by release date, so the chart shows how the frontier changes over time rather than just where models rank today.

Provider-colored lines connect each lab's flagship frontier checkpoints. Codex, mini, nano, flash, coder, and smaller open-weight variants are omitted so the chart tracks each lab's main offering rather than every SKU.

This view is most useful for spotting whether a new release is actually ahead of its direct predecessor, or whether source coverage and conservative imputations are shaping the comparison.

CostThe Falling Cost of IntelligenceX = release date. Y = effective cost per 1M I/O Tokens (log). Each step line tracks the cheapest model to date at or above an IQ level; large dots mark the models that set each new price floor, faint dots show every other qualifying model, colored by provider.Data: AI IQ methodologyOpen chartCoreIQ Bell CurveEach model's estimated IQ, placed on a standard normal IQ distribution.Data: ARC Prize, Epoch AI, Epoch AI +26 moreOpen chartCostIQ vs CostEach model's estimated IQ against its effective cost per 1M I/O Tokens (sticker price × measured or imputed usage multiplier).Data: AI IQ methodologyOpen chartCoreIQ RankingsEach model's estimated IQ, ranked highest to lowest. Defaults to current-generation models.Data: ARC Prize, Epoch AI, Epoch AI +34 moreOpen chartCoreIQ vs EQX = diagnostic EQ. Y = IQ. Color = model provider.Data: EQ-Bench 4 Elo, EQ-Bench 3, AttuneBench +29 moreOpen chartCoreIQ vs EQ vs Cost in 3D3D scatter: X = diagnostic EQ, Y = IQ, Z = effective cost (log). Color = provider. Drag to rotate.Data: Artificial Analysis, ARC Prize, Vals Index v2 Cost per Test +1 moreOpen chart